Had a question about the matchup tool for 72 hole matchups. For Mexico Open, the pre-tournament model has Rasmus Hojgaard as +1904 to win and Niklas Norgaard at +5267 to win. However in the matchup tool between the 2 golfers where ties are void, the DG price is -100/+100.
My question is, wouldn’t Hojgaard have a much better chance to beat Norgaard in a matchup when his implied probability to win the tournament is 4.99% compared to Norgaard at 1.86%?