Did anyone notice how long DJ was at -7 through 18 on the LIV leaderboard? Perhaps it was just momentarily… but our finish tool post-round 2 updated with DJ at -7. So naturally Cam’s win prob was a lot higher. It’s fixed now, hopefully nobody bet the house on Cam in the meantime…
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I did bet it and unfortunately it is one of those that Bet365 impose a “penalty” to cash out even though the Cam odds haven’t changed.
Decisions, decisions - take a 14% guaranteed loss or sweat it out on a large 0.2% EV play?
I could fund my exchange account and lay cam - would be c. 4% guaranteed loss then.
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B365 cashout is a joke.
Hm. I guess if you want convince yourself to keep the bet you could argue that Smith shouldn’t be given the typical ‘pressure’ adjustment of leading into final round (~0.4 strokes), as he’s proven to be a good performer when in contention (so far). So if his adjustment was only like -0.1 he’d be like 5% EV probably. Not that any of this justification actually matters haha.
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Well, it went to 10 and 7 straight away. Clearly LIV is scripted and they inadvertently broke the news early for the LIV live model.
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Actually the finish of the PGA Tour event was way more suspicious LOL
In pro wrestling they call that a botch
Anyway congrats on the win, Obgeoff