Hope everyone had a good holiday. B365 has Sentry odds up… where is everyone’s excitement level at for the season? After actually seeing the Sentry field on paper, it kind of made me think Rahm being gone won’t be that important to the PGA Tour week-to-week. I’m feeling pretty good about the next 3 months, the build-up to the Masters always delivers!
And of course from a betting standpoint, Rahm’s move doesn’t really change anything, unless it starts tipping the scales towards books and bettors paying more attention to LIV.
While I don’t like that Rahm “defected”, I’m of the mentality of next-man-up. Maybe Aberg turns into the next Rahm. Either way, as we see in golf, things can change quickly and new stars are always right around the corner! I’m looking forward the the new season. Best of luck, all!
Happy New Year everyone! Hope you all enjoyed time with your family. Personally it was a bit difficult to sell to everyone at xmas that the reason my 50k in golf bets this year just barely broke even was because of my sizings. Good to be back amongst the like-minded.
Sentry 2024 is going to be a banger and I’ll make an early prediction that this year is the year of Scotty Sheffler. Bold call, I know. Aberg hype aside (approach game is Swedish winter levels of ice-cold), if Sheffler can even find the heel of the putter this year then it’s all on. The guy is literally perfect and has a head the size of a watermelon , Mohanan has to be thanking his lucky stars. Schefflers putting impressed me enough at Tigers tourney to back him for every tournament for the next year. Hovland struggling was pretty surprising considering how he finished the season, not going to make too much of it tbh.
This week is all about full sending it off the tee and then sticking it close, sharp iron players will be feasting. The usual names will be topping the charts this year at Kapalua.
Speaking of seasons, with no golf on TV I’m really fuckin lost as to what to watch. I don’t gamble on anything else so I’m bored out of my mind. The PGA Tour schedule may be oversaturated but I’m all for it.
With all that being said, how do Xander, Cantlay, Morikawa or McIlroy (yea he’s in this group now) not make a run at some of the bigger tournaments/majors this year? I can’t wait to find out, bring on another great year of DG in 2024!
This response highlights the dangers of drinking golf media branded Kool-aid.
Scheffler is the Nicklaus of our time, his bad shots are good shots for everyone else. The guy literally launches himself off the ground and pirouettes on iron shots and still finds the center of the club. You cannot teach hands or hand-eye coordination like that. He busted into the scoring records last year while being negative SG in putting. It’s absolutely absurd what he’s doing right now, also he’s humble and religious so that should keep him on the straight and narrow for like 5 more years. Oh yea, and he’s 27…
Probably not fair to compare across eras, I think it has to be way harder to win now than ever before (although there is no easy way to prove that). But ya of course Scheffler is not Tiger, nobody is.
I think Scottie could potentially be the best player of this generation though; obviously a very long way to go, but he just played an entire season head-and-shoulders above Rory and Rahm in the ball-striking department. Like really, it wasn’t even close how much better Scheffler was.
Obviously I am not disputing that he is an excellent player, or that he had a great year hitting the ball. Nor am I disputing that putting is less predictive than ball striking.
I am just pointing out that putting is part of the sport, and if you lose strokes putting every week (in Scheffler’s case, mostly by not converting any mid range putts), at a certain point you are just a bad putter.
The strokes-gained revolution has been great for giving better clarity into who is good at what, but I feel like sometimes we forget that the objective of the sport is to put the ball in the hole, and if you suck at putting, that is ultimately an important hindrance to your greatness as a player.
Now, he can improve, and it is easier to get better at putting than it is to become a generational ball striker, but I will believe it when I see it.
I think a large number of people understimate what Scottie did this past year due to the putting woes but even if he only add a SG Putting around +1 strokes, as an example, he would be miles ahead of the competition for the majority of the year.
We had the Hero as an example. He gained just +0.38 on putting and he was by fair the best player on the field. Never looked close to anyone else catching him.
I agree for the most part, putting is still important and is a repeatable skill and we’ve almost gone too far in the direction of thinking putting doesn’t matter… but Scottie gained strokes on the greens in all three prior seasons (not by much, though). I know I’ve already said this several times, but he did potentially just have the best ball-striking season ever, when you consider the sample size. He’s like the first person ever to actually challenge Tiger on a meaningful all-time season-long stat in the SG era.