And when will his numbers trend toward normal!
Now that I say this, I’m sure he’ll win because I’m avoiding his massive EV
Because the guy is a really good player.
1 Like
They’re all really good players. He has yet to come close to performing to the DG numbers (compared to the books’ prices – there appears to be off-the-charts value but there hasn’t been any). Clearly the am numbers probably skew too positive considering there is just a handful of pro starts
Yeah, I agree the value has seemed a bit fishy. But, he’s a longshot, so assuming you are betting outrights / t5s you can’t expect to realize that value in 3 weeks, necessarily. If you look at Lopez’s profile and his LIV performances, he has underperformed our expectation slightly (around 0 to -0.2, I believe), but nothing too crazy.
2 Likes
No doubt it doesn’t make sense to play full EV with such little pro data and I need to enjoy the big overlays. Once he fires as expected, that value with the books will certainly disappear!
My theory is because his OTT shots gained figure is so high for the low number of shotlink rounds he has. Given that he is unlikely to play shotlink rounds in the near future, is there a danger that he is being characterised as being a close to elite driver of the ball on a small sample size?
2 Likes
Fingers crossed! Hoping Lopez-Chacarra and Puig start firing soon. Would be a big boon to LIV (and the International Series)
Even if they don’t win in the remaining LIV events they might have a better chance in the two International Series events in Africa
1 Like
Oh wow
This would be a HUGE win if he holds on tomorrow
I give him a 58% shot
If he wins he’ll be like a 20-1 shot next time out (LOL)
Fireballs might go off at +400 in the Team Competition too
This is why! And the fact that he hasn’t sniffed yet drove the odds higher while DG still was high on him. Even sweeter in the end. The T10 is even huge!
1 Like
Every coach I have had: “trust the process!”
Cheers, DK. This has to be one of the biggest hits of all-time.
2 Likes
what a win! i have a new favorite golfer. thanks DG!
1 Like