Probably they are just referencing the “DG Base + Fit” model. If you are new to the site, some weeks (like this one) there just isn’t much value. Especially after Monday.
-9.2% ROI for 2024, on 658 bets. Both 2024 and 2023 (post March 2023) have been rough for me…Except betting LIV. It’s the one reason I don’t mind LIV sticking around, I have 18.4% ROI on LIV since 2022 (mainly matchups, over 121 bets.)
I’ve started to develop my own model based on DG data, just a different way to look at it. I feel like using the same thing everyone else is doing is getting me nowhere, at least with PGA and DP World. Plus, we see how quickly the books update after the DG model is released.
Outrights are fun to bet, but they’re just not working for me. Had I just done matchups in the Sentry, I would have been up decently. Top 20s may be the only outrights I do going forward, unless some silly value presents itself.
Nationality props are the most lucrative by a wide margin.
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Thanks for the reply. I am new to the site and based on the EV values I see this week I was surprised to hear of such +EV opportunities presenting themself in any given week. Hoping to see some better odds in upcoming weeks. Thanks again
Caesars just pulled down all the odds for 20 minutes lo…
I think it’s probably hard with one book too.
What books are you all finding the most value on? I tried last year with BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, DraftKings, and FanDuel but struggled to find a lot of value even though I was pretty on top of getting plays in right when the model was available on Monday.
bet365. My advice: find some friends/relatives with accounts that aren’t sharp.