DK is paying ties in full this week (like MGM usually does), does anyone have a way of approximating how much that changes the EV? Like say for a Top 20, if its 10 cents worse than the Fanduel line is it actually higher EV because of the no dead heat?
I would be interested in an answer to this too.
Here are dh and non-dh finish probs. Need to get this on the site pre-tournament… been meaning to do that for a while. These are slightly different than what’s on site for various minor reasons.
The effect is a little more significant than what I typically account for. This would be a good addition to the site, Matt. Perhaps too good
Interesting, that’s super duper close to the adjustment I do on my end. I use 1.12x, 1.09x, and 1.06x to convert probabilites from T5/10/20 to no dead heat. Any idea what the adjustment would be for T30 or T40? Bovada and BetMGM offer those
@matt_courchene great to hear its on the radar, any thoughts towards having it as like a toggle on the site?
Yes toggle would be how we do it. On the to-do list.
Oh man why don’t we just not add this to the site!
This is back on DK for this week. Can we get that chart for this week by chance?
Hi Matt/DG, any chance we can this list for the PGA for pre-tournament this week? I know there’s a toggle on the live model, but this list would be super helpful to reference for the additional books offering top finishes paid in full this week. Thanks a lot.
@matt_courchene Hi Matt, just wanted to re-up this request to add a toggle to the pre-tournament betting tool page to enable switching between incorporating dead heat and not (like it works on the live predictive model tool) as now both FD and DK have top finish including ties bets in their pre-tournament odds every week. Whenever you are able to add this toggle feature to the betting tool page for pre-tournament odds, that would be incredibly helpful and surely much appreciated by a ton of your users. Thanks again for all that you do!
@jz3000 It has been added to the pre-tournament predictions endpoint and the pre-tournament page. We won’t be adding the toggle to the outright tool, but it shouldn’t be much work to combine the odds from the outright tool with the probabilities (DH or not) you need using the API.
Awesome. Thank you!!